While I despise statistics, I guiltily resort to them from time to time; the rest of the time, I come to my own conclusions from what I see on a wide variety of network news and cable opinion news (both MSNBC and Fox). By training I draw threads of evidence together and reach a conclusion, which is precisely what any decent lawyer does in court or when arguing an appeal. I have reasoned and hunched that most climate deniers are right of center and dogmatically dedicated to mostly evangelical and fundamentalist religions.
Only recently a segment of a show was dedicated to an attempt to reconcile science and religion with regard to climate change (no longer called global warming because too many deniers held that term absurd, just look at the blizzard in New York City. (Reminds me of the evolution deniers. They claim that God put the fossils in the earth "to fool Darwinists"!) The white preachers who joined some scientists on a junket to Juneau left the conclave clinging to their denier beliefs. (I was tempted to italicize the last word of that sentence: Boobical nuts hold in deathgrip their sacred texts, and since God is omnipotent He can be a bit capricious with climate phenomena; after all, He works in mysterious ways.) But one African-American pastor said he had changed his mind; he now believed in climate change.
Anyone who would believe that God put fossils in the earth to fool evolutionists is beyond the pale. There is no help in him. He must insist that climate change is a socialist Godless plot to turn the U.S. into a third world country by shutting down its coal burning gas guzzling manufacturing and consuming habits, including gluttonous gobbling up of precious hydrocarbonous resources. (The nuclear family goes to church on Sunday in a Suburban, which gets about as good mileage as a Sherman tank, while the rest of the week Mom does her shopping in the same vehicle, going across town and back...alone.)
Politically, these folks tend to be Republicans. A lot are tea party. They like Palin and Beck and their ilk. They are basically misguided boobs who might mean well in some disordered mind, but who propel us forward to their version of the Rapture, since ignoring climate change can only result in Bloomberg's Nightmare coast to coast. We will end up spending money we do not have just to save us from a Century of Catastrophes. Naomi Klein got it right when she pointed up the race between the Jihadists and climate deniers to end what was once called America. Perhaps the world itself.
Isn't it amazing, and alarming, the affect that cognitive bias has on decision making? Peetpeet and Paul choose to ignore the evidence that contradicts their beliefs, and accept only that which supports those beliefs. Even when evidence for AGW vastly overwhelms the evidence for denial.
I wonder if they also believe the earth is flat? There are websites for that too! why don't they believe those websites?
Maybe the moon landings were fake too!
One would think that most members of AN would have a rudimentary understanding of what selection bias is and how to evaluate and weigh sources, but I guess that would be still more wishful thinking.
Oh well, keep on fighting the good fight.
I don't understand why people still think our predecessors thought the earth was flat. It's false history to believe anyone did.
Unfortunately people still subscribe to the following ethos
My reply to LarryL was to show how some people are locked into group think. It shouldn't be surprising that inerrant Christians who think the resurrection of Jesus will lift them to heaven don't care about the environment.
James G. Watt, the Secratary of the Interior under President Ronald Reagan was noted as saying After the last tree is felled, Christ will come back.
I've met and worked with people who think that way. They don't care about environmental issues because the resurrection is coming.
Here's something I gleaned off Wikapedia to show you how strong the Christian movement is - in case you didn't know.
Some Christians believe that the Second Coming of Jesus Christ cannot occur until the Third Temple is constructed in Jerusalem, which requires the appearance of a red heifer born in Israel. Clyde Lott, a cattle breeder in O'Neill, Nebraska, United States, is attempting to systematically breed red heifers and export them to Israel to establish a breeding line of red heifers in Israel in the hope that this will bring about the construction of the Third Temple and ultimately the Second Coming of Jesus Christ.
Here's my non-expert thoughts on your question.
I think that the effect on plants and animals (over the next 10-50 years) remains an open research question since we know so little about many of the species, their evolutionary path and their ecological interconnections.
What we do know, as summarized in places like
http://www.climateandweather.net/global_warming/effects_on_animals.htm, is worrisome on a scale of 10-50 years; since there may not be time for ecologically stable, species adaptation in such a short time.
There is quite a bit of insight to the problem offered on the National Geographic TV show "Strange Days on Planet Earth" - http://www.pbs.org/strangedays/episodes/onedegreefactor/experts/oth...