I'm in the process of penning a note to my good friend here regarding our discussions of the fallacy of induction and something struck me.
Bruce Salem's hypothesis about engineers - which is more than a tongue in cheek remark - seems to have a root in the inductive fallacy.
Engineers use maths a lot; and in mathematical science, induction is a perfectly logical way to proceed. 1 + 1 = 2 100% of the time.
I'm very, very poor at anything beyond basic maths (seems that I'm very poor at following inductive reasoning) and I wonder if this holds part of the answer to Bruce's observation?
For example, is it possible that our brains may be actually wired to bias us toward inductive or deductive reasoning? If that's the case, then does it follow that we're on a continuum where some people are devoid of the ability to think in one way or the other yet most of us can manage fairly well with both?
If that's the case, does it follow that people like Perry Marshall and those like him cannot see the errors in their arguments because they simply lack the ability to see beyond pure induction?
I'm only floating an idea here - perhaps someone has explained the Salem Hypothesis - but if I'm even partly right, we should be able to devise a test to prove this.